TRANSFER MARKET ANALYSIS: THE GOOD, BAD AND THE UNDECIDED
Good morning and welcome to a new series I would be doing
hopefully till the end of the season.
I call it the transfer market analysis; the good, bad and
the undecided. Here I look at the top 5 transferred in and out players at the
end of the last day of game week matches and TRY to work out if it will be a hit or miss. Those who I feel don’t
clearly fall into any category fall into the undecided group.
Ill also be giving my reasons for calling it/them hits or
misses and we can check out how wrong or right I was at the end of the week.
The table for the TRANSFERS
IN is shown below.
Top 5 transferred in with the tabular analysis |
Kane tops the
transfers in chat with 94,976 in and has undergone a price rise but despite
scoring a hat trick in his last game, he wasn’t previously much on form and
faces a hard fixture next according to the ticker*
so despite it feeling like a success, I’m still undecided on that one.
Lukaku is a
complete good! Form and fixtures and no
midweek game screams buy! Alonso tho is
a tricky one. With just one easy fixture in the next 3, some might argue
against but for those who have watched him, Alonso plays like a winger and even if Chelsea do not keep cleanies
in the harder games, his attacking output could come in handy and anyway, hull
at home is so hard to resist.
Coutinho goes in
the bad category not because he has a bad fixture but mainly because he hasn’t even
played a full game since his recovery and though unlikely, the coach might still
want to ease him back against a “weak” Swansea side. If his fitness is to be
built before that, Liverpool have a must win midweek FA cup fixture and for
such an injury prone player, it would have been better to wait till Tuesday night
IMO.
Then there is Alli
whose case is similar to kane’s though he has form but I still don’t think he
is a top priority in the midfield ranks for this week with the fixture
involved.
Top 5 transferred out with tabular analysis |
For TRANSFERS OUT, Costa
tops the chart with 165,733 sellers. This comes after being omitted from
the squad this past weekend and rumours of being exiled arose. The truth is
that despite those absolutely believable rumours, Conte hasn’t backed them
which means that the injury claim is our strongest base and recovery before a
fixture against hull is still within reach. The caveat is that the fixtures
after that aren’t nice and with other strikers performing, his sale is justifiable
but still falls within the undecided category.
Our dear former favourite Ake is definitely a good transfer out. Out of the starting line-up
and dropping in price, there is no reason to keep. Likewise Zaha. Off to the nations cup and set to
miss next week games and probably more, there is no reason to keep.
Then we have another former favourite Capoue. Cheap, starting and on set pieces, he was the darling of
most squads at the beginning and forged a strong love-hate relationship with
most managers but a slide in output from both him and the watford squad as a
whole means his sale is justified especially for those who didn’t buy early as
his price is rapidly falling.
Liverpools Adam
Lalana is a curious case. Personally, ive not being a fan but he had form
and a good fixture and the return of coutinho (confusing I know) could spark
something again. Also there is no stand out go to option at the moment which
makes selling before Swansea at anfield seem like a bad decision to me.
That’s it. Remember, reasons stated here can change and the
writer isn’t trying to discourage any buyers or sellers but trying to check out
the timing of the transfers. As always, your input is highly welcomed.
*The ticker used is from the official premier league mobile
app.
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