Posts

Showing posts from 2017

BOTS VS EXPERTS: PREDICTING THE BEST TEAM FOR GW3

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

SELECTING THE BEST TEAM: BOTS VS EXPERTS TEAM OF GAMEWEEK 1.

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

FPL TEAM SELECTION BREAKDOWN BASED ON PRICES AND POPULARITY

Image
Fantasy Premier League is back, yeahhh!!! Oh, wait, I’m more than 8 days late but I’m sure you haven’t fixed your teams. Those many drafts keep you frustrated as they are either lacking the coverage you need or the big players you want. I’m not here to ease your stress, at least not yet. I just want to take a first look at the players on offer and look at the popular options in each price bracket. GOALKEEPERS There are 4 prices of goal keepers in the game. This makes the position the easiest to pick in this article. The 4 prices are divided into Premiums (5.0, 5.5) and Budget (4.0, 4.5). There are strategies that support use of each category of goalies but like I said, I’ll be picking the most popular (highest by team selected by) which gives us David De Gea (5.5)-26.1% and Ben Foster(4.5)-20.6%. Both start the season with nice fixtures and although it may not be the best double pick considering cost, they are the two most selected goalies.

BOTS VS EXPERTS: PREDICTING THE BEST TEAM FOR GW35

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

REVIEWING THE BOTS VS EXPERTS ARTICLE GW34

Image
Good day and welcome to the review of our bots vs experts’ article.  These review(s) will help us determine if the bots options are preferable to the experts or if human judgement trumps their call. It will also help us keep track of the performance of these sites over the course of the season. The previewing article can be found here   for cross checking. Thanks.

BOTS VS EXPERTS: PREDICTING THE BEST TEAM FOR GW34

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 33

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

PREPARING FOR THE DOUBLE GAMEWEEKS WITH WILDCARD IN MIND

Image
With the announcement of the rescheduled games for gameweeks 36 and 37 and the earlier announcement for dgw34, many managers have gone full ANALYSIS on getting the best way to maximize the dgws by stocking up on the best players for the next 3 weeks then wildcarding in gw36 to prepare for the last 2 dgw.. From experience and study, the best plan is to divide the remaining 6 gameweeks into 2 boxes for managers with wildcard. It’s my advice (and popular choice) to wildcard in gw36 to enjoy the second dgw(36) and plan to bring in max players for dgw37. With benchboost or not, this is a superb plan as you can take advantage of the short term fixtures. This analysis will take two forms: FIXTURE ANALYSIS (where I look at the fixtures of all teams for the next 3 weeks and PREDICTED POINTS SCORERS ( where I use the 3 most popular bot site to get the projected best players for the next 3 weeks) Finally, I’ll be giving a differential article where we look at players with ownershi

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 32

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

TRANSFER MARKET ANALYSIS: THE GOOD, BAD AND THE UNDECIDED

Image
Good morning and welcome to this week’s edition of this series I would be doing hopefully till the end of the season. I call it the transfer market analysis; the good, bad and the undecided. Here I look at the top 5 transferred in and out players at the end of the last day of game week matches and TRY to work out if it will be a hit or miss. Those who I feel don’t clearly fall into any category fall into the undecided group. Ill also be giving my reasons for calling it/them hits or misses and we can check out how wrong or right I was at the end of the week. The table for the TRANSFERS IN is shown below. Expectedly from the top,  COUTINHO tops our transfers in for the week after returning a goal and assist in the merseyside derby. His return to form coincided with the loss of mane and with a home fixture against Bournemouth up next and no hard fixture in next 3, he looked like the sure replacement. The caveat tho is his seeming inconsistency with hauls seemingly

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 30

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 28

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 8* sites. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and assist) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, fpl academy, thefpl blog and the official fantasy app scout). The team of the week is entered into my F

GW 27 - BOTS VS EXPERTS ARTICLE

Image
Good morning and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy.  My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites).  Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections.  For this study, I'll be using 8 site. 4 have bots (fantasy football fix, first, overlord and geek) while 4 are human experts (fantasy football scout, thefantasypl, overlord and the official fantasy app scout).  The picture below is an excel representatio

TRANSFER MARKET ANALYSIS: THE GOOD, BAD AND THE UNDECIDED

Image
Good morning and welcome to this week’s edition of this series I would be doing hopefully till the end of the season. Sorry for the hiatus, good to be back. I call it the transfer market analysis; the good, bad and the undecided. Here I look at the top 5 transferred in and out players at the end of the last day of game week matches and TRY to work out if it will be a hit or miss. Those who I feel don’t clearly fall into any category fall into the undecided group. Ill also be giving my reasons for calling it/them hits or misses and we can check out how wrong or right I was at the end of the week. The table for the TRANSFERS IN is shown below. Ive added an extra column to account for teams/player availability for gw26 and gw28 as they are the likely blank game weeks and should factor into our thinking. This week’s transfers have drawn the mother of all surprises. We start with Liverpool’s Sadio Mane. Since leaving for AFCON, Liverpool hadn’t been the same. Li

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 23

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 6* sites. 3 have bots (fantasy football fix, first and assist) while 3* are human experts (fantasy football scout, geek and the official fantasy app scout). The picture below is an excel representation of the data gotten. I did

REVIEWING THE BOTS VS EXPERTS ARTICLE GW22

Image
Good morning and welcome to the review of our bots vs experts’ article.  These review(s) will help us determine if the bots options are preferable to the experts or if human judgement trumps their call. It will also help us keep track of the performance of these sites over the course of the season. The previewing article can be found here   for cross checking. Thanks.  

TRANSFER MARKET ANALYSIS: THE GOOD, BAD AND THE UNDECIDED

Image
Good morning and welcome to this week’s edition of this series I would be doing hopefully till the end of the season. I call it the transfer market analysis; the good, bad and the undecided. Here I look at the top 5 transferred in and out players at the end of the last day of game week matches and TRY to work out if it will be a hit or miss. Those who I feel don’t clearly fall into any category fall into the undecided group. Ill also be giving my reasons for calling it/them hits or misses and we can check out how wrong or right I was at the end of the week. The table for the TRANSFERS IN is shown below. Surprisingly, four of the top 5 transferred in this week are away in their next EPL fixture and 3 of them play in the FA cup at the weekend. Alli’s 49,244 new owners have put him at the top of the list. Form and fixture combine to justify this decision as alli seems unstoppable and sunderland look like willing opponents. He was part of the top transfers last

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 22

Image
Good evening and welcome to the continuation of our series. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out the best set of players from their algorithm projections. For this study, I'll be using 5 sites. 3 have bots (fantasy football fix, first and assist) while 2 are human experts (fantasy football scout and geek). The picture below is an excel representation of the data gotten. I didn't delve into stats. Just col

TRANSFER MARKET ANALYSIS: THE GOOD, BAD AND THE UNDECIDED

Image
Good morning and welcome to a new series I would be doing hopefully till the end of the season. I call it the transfer market analysis; the good, bad and the undecided. Here I look at the top 5 transferred in and out players at the end of the last day of game week matches and TRY to work out if it will be a hit or miss. Those who I feel don’t clearly fall into any category fall into the undecided group. Ill also be giving my reasons for calling it/them hits or misses and we can check out how wrong or right I was at the end of the week. The table for the TRANSFERS IN is shown below. Top 5 transferred in with the tabular analysis Kane tops the transfers in chat with 94,976 in and has undergone a price rise but despite scoring a hat trick in his last game, he wasn’t previously much on form and faces a hard fixture next according to the ticker * so despite it feeling like a success, I’m still undecided on that one. Lukaku is a complete good! Form and fixtur

REVIEWING THE BOTS VS EXPERTS ARTICLE

Image
Good morning and welcome to the review of our bots vs experts’ article.  These review(s) will help us determine if the bots options are preferable to the experts or if human judgement trumps their call. It will also help us keep track of the performance of these sites over the course of the season. The previewing article can be found here   for cross checking. Thanks. FFFIRST had returns for 2/3 of their goalkeeper picks, 4/5 of their defence picks, 5/7 of their midfield picks and 3/5 of their forward picks giving a 14/20 or 70% correlation rate. FFFIX came in with a perfect 3/3 on the goal keepers, 4/5 on defenders, 5/7 on midfielders and 3/5 on forwards to give a marginally better

BOTS VS EXPERTS: SELECTING THE BEST TEAM FOR THE GAME WEEK 21

Image
Good morning and welcome to the continuation of our series. I want to apologize for the hiatus, the Christmas break was a busy time with game weeks coming in thick and fast and sites updating late plus I had to travel for family re-union and was faced with very poor network coverage. Also this week’s piece came relatively late and ill like to apologize. Hope you find this useful. Choosing a team for a game week can be hard. Sentiments and personal preferences can cloud ones judgement. There have been many FPL sites that try to predict the team for the week but there is usually a large discrepancy. My plan in doing this article is to compare human analysis (totw from experts on different sites) to AI analysis (totw from bots on different sites). Now these sites are expected to churn out different teams every week irrespective of transfer limitations. The difference is that the experts bring their teams based on strict FPL formation and price while the bots simply bring out