ANALYSIS QUALIFYING SCENERIOS IN CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

How teams can qualify
GROUP E
Barcelona: Qualified as group winners.
AS Roma: Will qualify with a win at home to BATE as they hold the head to head over Bayer Leverkusen. A draw will also be enough if Leverkusen fail to win.
Bayer Leverkusen: Must win at home to Barcelona to stand any hope of qualifying. If they do win, they have to hope Roma fail to win at home to BATE.
BATE Borisov: Must win at Roma and hope Leverkusen fail to beat Barcelona.

GROUP F
Bayern Munich: Qualified as group winners.
Olympiakos: Need a point at home to Arsenal to qualify. A defeat of 1-0 or 2-1 would also see them finish ahead of the Gunners on head to head away goals.
Arsenal: Must win at Olympiakos. Arsenal would need to win by two goals, or a one-goal victory margin of 4-3 or higher, to climb above the Greek club on head to head points. If Arsenal were to win 3-2, then head to head would be level and it would go down to overall group goal difference -- which is guaranteed to send the Gunners through.
Arsenal will need to:
- Beat Olympiakos by two or more goals
- Or by a one-goal margin of 3-2 or higher
Dinamo Zagreb: Have been eliminated from the competition completely.



GROUP G

Each team has quite a simple task, although the explanation is quite complicated. We'll go in reverse for this group as Dynamo Kiev are key here to there being three teams level on points.
What is important to note is that if more than two teams are level on points there is no consideration given to 1 vs. 1 results. A head to head mini-league is created using only the results involving those sides. And as Maccabi would have lost all their games, the group will come down to goal difference between the three sides.
- Chelsea need a draw to qualify
- Porto must win at Chelsea to definitely qualify, a draw is not enough if Dynamo win
- Dynamo are guaranteed to qualify by beating Maccabi
Dynamo Kiev: Victory at home to Maccabi Tel-Aviv will guarantee their qualification, which will be as group winners if there is no winner in Chelsea vs. Porto. The two-goal win over Porto has been key. With all three teams on 11 points, Dynamo have a goal difference of +1.
Chelsea: Only need a point at home to Porto, and will also qualify if Dynamo fail to beat Maccabi. With all three teams on 11 points, Chelsea have a goal difference of 0.
Porto: Must win at Chelsea, or hope Dynamo fail to beat Maccabi. No other result will do. With all three teams on 11 points, Porto have a goal difference of -1.

GROUP H


Zenit St Petersburg: Qualified as group winners.
Gent: A victory at home to Zenit will guarantee their place. They would also be guaranteed to qualify if Valenica fail to beat Lyon, as they hold the head to head over Valencia on away goals.
Valencia: Must win at home to Lyon and hope Gent fail to beat Zenit.
Lyon: Have been eliminated from the competition completely.